根据洛杉矶Interpret新的研究报告显示，美国890万用户准备购买PS3

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根据洛杉矶Interpret新的研究报告显示，美国890万用户准备购买PS3，570万用户准备购买Wii，仅有80万人有购买Xbox360的意向。
该研究报告最先公布给了Next-Generation网站，是根据2000名随机用户调查提取的结果以及Census全国性调查为辅。研究报告预计至2008年PS3在美国销量将达1200万台，Xbox360虽在近期有不俗战绩，但当面对强大的对手，将很难在普通大众领域有所突破。
Interpret的执行长官Michael Dowling表示任天堂Wii作为易用易玩性主机，拥有更广的用户群，将成为3台主机中的黑马。上一代主机大战中，Xbox比GC的美国市场占有率高出2-3个百分点，这种形式将改变。他同时表示，虽然Xbox360已上市近一年，但仍对铁杆级玩家有吸引力。
http://www.next-gen.biz/index.ph ... d=3978&Itemid=2.

QQSF

这个题目好  标准的GREARGUMENT题目～～～～


Merely based on unfounded assumption and dubious evidence, the statement draws a conclusion that-（至2008年PS3在美国销量将达1200万台，Xbox360虽在近期有不俗战绩，但当面对强大的对手，将很难在普通大众领域有所突破。Interpret的执行长官Michael Dowling表示任天堂Wii作为易用易玩性主机，拥有更广的用户群，将成为3台主机中的黑马. ）To support the conclusion, the arguer points out evidence that….In addition, he indicates that…Furthermore, he reasons/asserts/infers that…（根据洛杉矶Interpret新的研究报告显示，美国890万用户准备购买PS3，570万用户准备购买Wii，仅有80万人有购买Xbox360的意向。）However, this alone neither constitutes a logical argument in favor of the conclusion nor provides compelling support making the argument sound. The arguer ignores certain important concerns, which must be addressed to prove. In my point of view, this argument suffers from N flaws.


The major problem with this argument is that the argument depends on a survey that-（2000名随机用户调查提取的结果以及Census全国性调查）---However, the survey cited here is too vague to be informative. The author fails to point out that how the survey was conducted. If who conducted the by themselves, and the question is “这些数字是否有效”, it is obvious that if---调查不具有统计意义--. Or if these questions were leading, people might echo with expected answers, thus the results would be greatly unconvincing. Moreover,Samples for the survey should be statistically reliable. Unfortunately, from the survey we find little sign of such procedures for sampling, thus doubting whether the respondents constitute a sufficiently large sample so as to be representative of the overall population of the nation.

Another problem that weakens the logic of this argument is that the author falsely depends on gratuitous assumption that (Interpret的执行长官Michael Dowling表示任天堂Wii作为易用易玩性主机，拥有更广的用户群)will(将成为3台主机中的黑马). Actually, the author fails to establish a causal relationship between the fact (任天堂Wii作为易用易玩性主机)and the claim (拥有更广的用户群).  Therefore, this argument is unwarranted without ruling out such possibility.

Before I come to my conclusion, it is necessary to point out several other flaws that undermines the argument. The author assumes too hastily that Xbox比GC的美国市场占有率高出2-3个百分点，这种形式将改变---necessarily results in--上一代主机大战中---. However, no evidence is stated in the argument to support this assumption。The author, thus, cannot safely draw any significant conclusion or prediction.

To sum up, though the argument seems to be plausible, in fact, it is neither sound nor persuasive. Not only does it leave out such key issues, but also cites in the analysis the evidence, which does not lend strong support to what arguer claims. To make the argument more convincing, the arguer would have to take the following conditions into consideration（更多及可靠的调查样本  更详细和透明的分析 ETC...）If the argument includes the given factors discussed above, it would have been more thorough and adequate.

QQSF

E搞一把  LZ莫恼～ 原文还是很有说服力的～～

sakura4

当廉价BD播放器买的~和PS2当初差不多~

asimooo

。。。老美就是有钱。。也没什么好说的。。买个PS3就像买个小玩具一样吧。。呵。。